tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:05 MSP → 10:44 LGA
    DL 2719 · Delta · 2h 41m · 89% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:35 LGA → 15:34 TPA
    DL 2106 · Delta · 2h 59m · 85% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 29mMSP 07:05 to TPA 15:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.