tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Philadelphia via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:55 SFO → 08:11 SEA
    DL 2721 · Delta · 2h 16m · 95% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:25 SEA → 17:35 PHL
    DL 1114 · Delta · 5h 10m · 85% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 40mSFO 05:55 to PHL 17:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.