tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:55 SFO → 08:11 SEA
    DL 2721 · Delta · 2h 16m · 95% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:05 SEA → 17:37 MSP
    DL 941 · Delta · 3h 31m · 88% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 189 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 54m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 41mSFO 05:55 to MSP 17:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.