tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 88%

  1. 05:55 SFO → 08:11 SEA
    DL 2721 · Delta · 2h 16m · 95% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 SEA → 12:18 SMF
    DL 4125 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 23mSFO 05:55 to SMF 12:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.