tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Buffalo via Minneapolis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 10:02 BNA → 12:15 MSP
    DL 2724 · Delta · 2h 13m · 88% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:22 MSP → 18:27 BUF
    DL 1749 · Delta · 2h 05m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 25mBNA 10:02 to BUF 18:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.