tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:02 BNA → 12:15 MSP
    DL 2724 · Delta · 2h 13m · 88% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 MSP → 18:04 IAD
    DL 3783 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 34m · 80% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 02mBNA 10:02 to IAD 18:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.