tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → New York via Nashville: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:55 MSP → 08:57 BNA
    DL 2724 · Delta · 2h 02m · 90% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 BNA → 13:30 JFK
    DL 4919 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 30m · 75% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 35mMSP 06:55 to JFK 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.