tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Portland via Los Angeles: arrives on time 51%

  1. 14:30 SFO → 15:56 LAX
    DL 2725 · Delta · 1h 29m · 49% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:01 LAX → 19:17 PDX
    DL 2459 · Delta · 2h 16m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 47mSFO 14:30 to PDX 19:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.