tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Kailua/Kona via Los Angeles: arrives on time 19%

  1. 14:30 SFO → 15:56 LAX
    DL 2725 · Delta · 1h 29m · 49% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:44 LAX → 19:17 KOA
    DL 311 · Delta · 5h 33m · 82% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection24%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 76% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (24%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 47mSFO 14:30 to KOA 19:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.