tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 19%

  1. 14:30 SFO → 15:56 LAX
    DL 2725 · Delta · 1h 29m · 49% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:43 LAX → 18:15 SMF
    DL 3712 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection22%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 78% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (22%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip3h 45mSFO 14:30 to SMF 18:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.