tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:35 DSM → 08:44 ATL
    DL 2727 · Delta · 2h 09m · 94% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 12:12 PHX
    DL 796 · Delta · 4h 02m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 37mDSM 05:35 to PHX 12:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.