tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Cleveland via New York: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:30 MSP → 19:18 LGA
    DL 2732 · Delta · 2h 47m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 LGA → 22:35 CLE
    DL 4974 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 01m · 67% on time, 13.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (13.7% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 01mMSP 15:30 to CLE 22:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.