tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Grand Rapids via New York: arrives on time 50%

  1. 15:30 MSP → 19:18 LGA
    DL 2732 · Delta · 2h 47m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LGA → 23:24 GRR
    DL 5659 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 19m · 74% on time, 20.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Rapids is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (20.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 49mMSP 15:30 to GRR 23:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.