tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Washington via Detroit: arrives on time 52%

  1. 16:25 AUS → 20:29 DTW
    DL 2736 · Delta · 3h 04m · 81% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:24 DTW → 22:59 DCA
    DL 2073 · Delta · 1h 35m · 70% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 34mAUS 16:25 to DCA 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.