tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 31%

  1. 18:22 ORD → 21:38 ATL
    DL 2740 · Delta · 2h 16m · 71% on time, 14.6% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 ATL → 23:52 MCO
    DL 1162 · Delta · 1h 33m · 68% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (14.6% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 36mORD 18:22 to MCO 23:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.