tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → San Francisco via Detroit: arrives on time 57%

  1. 14:10 MCI → 17:10 DTW
    DL 2741 · Delta · 1h 58m · 87% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:37 DTW → 22:35 SFO
    DL 1327 · Delta · 4h 58m · 59% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip10h 25mMCI 14:10 to SFO 22:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.