tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Traverse City via Detroit: arrives on time 46%

  1. 11:26 DFW → 15:09 DTW
    DL 2746 · Delta · 2h 43m · 80% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:01 DTW → 17:18 TVC
    DL 3965 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 17m · 66% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 52mDFW 11:26 to TVC 17:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.