tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Richmond via New York: arrives on time 71%

  1. 10:10 DTW → 11:59 JFK
    DL 2751 · Delta · 1h 49m · 91% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:20 JFK → 16:19 RIC
    DL 5301 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 59m · 78% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 09mDTW 10:10 to RIC 16:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.