tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Portland via New York: arrives on time 53%

  1. 10:10 DTW → 11:59 JFK
    DL 2751 · Delta · 1h 49m · 91% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 JFK → 14:19 PWM
    DL 5399 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 34m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 09mDTW 10:10 to PWM 14:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.