tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:11 TUL → 13:14 ATL
    DL 2754 · Delta · 2h 01m · 94% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 4h 45m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 18:53 PHX
    DL 836 · Delta · 3h 59m · 73% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 240 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 45m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip10h 47mTUL 10:11 to PHX 18:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.