tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 55%

  1. 10:11 TUL → 13:14 ATL
    DL 2754 · Delta · 2h 01m · 94% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 ATL → 17:25 DCA
    DL 850 · Delta · 1h 55m · 58% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 14mTUL 10:11 to DCA 17:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.