tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Nashville via Detroit: arrives on time 60%

  1. 17:44 MCI → 20:45 DTW
    DL 2761 · Delta · 2h 01m · 86% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 DTW → 22:15 BNA
    DL 2126 · Delta · 1h 40m · 75% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 31mMCI 17:44 to BNA 22:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.