tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 15:56 DAY → 17:40 ATL
    DL 2763 · Delta · 1h 44m · 89% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:15 ATL → 21:03 IAD
    DL 1309 · Delta · 1h 49m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 08mDAY 15:56 to IAD 21:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.