tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Asheville via New York: arrives on time 62%

  1. 10:05 MSP → 13:46 LGA
    DL 2764 · Delta · 2h 41m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:44 LGA → 19:00 AVL
    DL 4665 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 17m · 69% on time, 7.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (7.9% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 56mMSP 10:05 to AVL 19:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.