tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → St Louis via New York: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:00 ORD → 09:09 LGA
    DL 2767 · Delta · 2h 09m · 92% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 LGA → 11:47 STL
    DL 4922 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 50m · 80% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 50mORD 06:00 to STL 11:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.