tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Louisville via New York: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 ORD → 09:09 LGA
    DL 2767 · Delta · 2h 09m · 92% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 LGA → 13:32 SDF
    DL 5637 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 27m · 86% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 32mORD 06:00 to SDF 13:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.