tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 72%

  1. 11:45 ANC → 16:26 SEA
    DL 2768 · Delta · 3h 41m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 SEA → 21:24 PHX
    DL 2698 · Delta · 2h 54m · 77% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 39mANC 11:45 to PHX 21:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.