tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Denver via Atlanta: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:56 XNA → 22:00 ATL
    DL 2771 · Delta · 2h 04m · 63% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 ATL → 00:23 DEN +1 day
    DL 956 · Delta · 3h 23m · 77% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 26mXNA 18:56 to DEN 00:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.