tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Valparaiso via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 12:30 BOS → 15:17 ATL
    DL 2779 · Delta · 2h 47m · 84% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:05 ATL → 16:19 VPS
    DL 3083 · Delta · 1h 14m · 82% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 49mBOS 12:30 to VPS 16:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.