tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 48%

  1. 18:40 DAL → 22:00 ATL
    DL 2780 · Delta · 2h 20m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 ATL → 23:53 ORD
    DL 1199 · Delta · 2h 09m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 19mDAL 18:40 to ORD 23:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.