tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Jacksonville via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 18:40 DAL → 22:00 ATL
    DL 2780 · Delta · 2h 20m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:48 ATL → 23:59 JAX
    DL 2276 · Delta · 1h 11m · 76% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 19mDAL 18:40 to JAX 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.