tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 18:40 DAL → 22:00 ATL
    DL 2780 · Delta · 2h 20m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:02 ATL → 00:26 SDF +1 day
    DL 2624 · Delta · 1h 26m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 48mDAL 18:40 to SDF 00:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.