tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Los Angeles via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 18:40 DAL → 22:00 ATL
    DL 2780 · Delta · 2h 20m · 78% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 ATL → 00:31 LAX +1 day
    DL 575 · Delta · 4h 42m · 68% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 52mDAL 18:40 to LAX 00:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.