tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Tampa via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:05 MSP → 10:33 RDU
    DL 2783 · Delta · 2h 28m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:20 RDU → 15:15 TPA
    WN 4442 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 10mMSP 07:05 to TPA 15:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.