tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 87%

  1. 00:35 SFO → 06:09 MSP
    DL 2789 · Delta · 3h 34m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 MSP → 11:43 DTW
    DL 1433 · Delta · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 08mSFO 00:35 to DTW 11:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.