tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 00:35 SFO → 06:09 MSP
    DL 2789 · Delta · 3h 34m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:05 MSP → 08:27 LAS
    DL 2261 · Delta · 3h 22m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 52mSFO 00:35 to LAS 08:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.