tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Washington via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 00:35 SFO → 06:09 MSP
    DL 2789 · Delta · 3h 34m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:35 MSP → 11:02 DCA
    DL 2958 · Delta · 2h 27m · 84% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 27mSFO 00:35 to DCA 11:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.