tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 00:35 SFO → 06:09 MSP
    DL 2789 · Delta · 3h 34m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:17 MSP → 10:52 IAD
    DL 3699 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 17mSFO 00:35 to IAD 10:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.