tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 57%

  1. 11:20 MSY → 14:50 DTW
    DL 2790 · Delta · 2h 29m · 85% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:07 DTW → 18:25 MDW
    DL 4677 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 22m · 60% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 09mMSY 11:20 to MDW 18:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.