tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → San Diego via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:40 PHL → 07:23 MSP
    DL 2791 · Delta · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 MSP → 10:43 SAN
    DL 2121 · Delta · 3h 48m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 03mPHL 05:40 to SAN 10:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.