tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Salt Lake City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 66%

  1. 05:40 PHL → 07:23 MSP
    DL 2791 · Delta · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:10 MSP → 10:04 SLC
    DL 2628 · Delta · 2h 54m · 93% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip6h 24mPHL 05:40 to SLC 10:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.