tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Houston via Minneapolis: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:40 PHL → 07:23 MSP
    DL 2791 · Delta · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 MSP → 13:15 IAH
    DL 2673 · Delta · 2h 53m · 79% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 37mPHL 05:40 to IAH 13:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.