tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Washington via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:40 PHL → 07:23 MSP
    DL 2791 · Delta · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:26 MSP → 13:48 DCA
    DL 2983 · Delta · 2h 23m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 09mPHL 05:40 to DCA 13:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.