tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Seattle via Minneapolis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:40 PHL → 07:23 MSP
    DL 2791 · Delta · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 MSP → 10:59 SEA
    DL 868 · Delta · 3h 54m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 19mPHL 05:40 to SEA 10:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.