tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Memphis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:40 PHL → 07:23 MSP
    DL 2791 · Delta · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 MSP → 11:25 MEM
    DL 3989 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 15m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 45mPHL 05:40 to MEM 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.