tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Traverse City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:40 PHL → 07:23 MSP
    DL 2791 · Delta · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 MSP → 12:54 TVC
    DL 3995 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 14mPHL 05:40 to TVC 12:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.