tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Madison via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:40 PHL → 07:23 MSP
    DL 2791 · Delta · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:12 MSP → 11:20 MSN
    DL 4102 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 08m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 40mPHL 05:40 to MSN 11:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.