tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → New York via Hebron: arrives on time 86%

  1. 22:14 LAS → 05:00 CVG
    DL 2794 · Delta · 3h 46m · 92% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Hebron (CVG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:45 CVG → 08:50 JFK +1 day
    DL 5044 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 05m · 94% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 36mLAS 22:14 to JFK 08:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.