tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:00 BWI → 19:08 ATL
    DL 2799 · Delta · 2h 05m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:54 ATL → 20:32 MSY
    DL 1450 · Delta · 1h 38m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 32mBWI 17:00 to MSY 20:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.