tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Fort Lauderdale via Atlanta: arrives on time 48%

  1. 17:00 BWI → 19:08 ATL
    DL 2799 · Delta · 2h 05m · 78% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:58 ATL → 21:55 FLL
    DL 1489 · Delta · 1h 57m · 67% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 55mBWI 17:00 to FLL 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.